• Large Hail
- Damaging Winds
- A Few Tornadoes
• Frequent Lightning
Good morning everyone, wanted to give a quick update on what to expect from today's storms. As of this morning, the "enhanced" risk region no longer covers most of North Texas, and instead just covers the Red River counties down in to Dallas and Tarrant, but only a small sliver in the extreme North of those cointies, leaving the rest of North Texas under a "Slight" risk. However, this does not mean we can let our guard down for counties outside of the "Enhanced" risk areas, folks inside of the "Slight" risk area need to pay close attention as well.
The brownish orange colored outline represents the "Enhanced" risk area, the yellow colored outline represents the "Slight" risk area.
Threats today may include:
• Large Hail
• Frequent Lightning
Forecast Timing for today's storms is between 4 PM and 12 AM.
Good morning everyone! Here's a quick update on the possible severe storms this week. Images and forecasts are courtesy of the NWS Fort Worth.
Courtesy NWS Fort Worth - Some isolated thunderstorms are possible late this afternoon and early this evening along and northwest of a Cisco to Bowie line. IF storms develop, they will likely become severe with large hail and damaging winds being the primary hazards. Cloud-to-ground lightning and heavy rain may also accompany these storms. Otherwise, expect warm, breezy and humid conditions today. Temperatures will climb into the 80s at most locations and a few spot across the northwest will reach the lower 90s.
Courtesy NWS Fort Worth - There will be a chance of showers and thunderstorms across much of North and Central Texas Wednesday with the best chances being along and west of I-35. Some strong to severe storms are possible. The main hazards with these storms will be from large hail, damaging straight-line winds and lightning. A heavy rain threat will also be possible beneath any slow-moving thunderstorms.
Courtesy NWS Fort Worth - Chances of showers and thunderstorms will continue on Thursday as an upper level trough translates the Central and Southern Plain, and a weak cold front pushes through the region. The best chances for precipitation will likely occur across the eastern half of the region. A few storms should become severe with large hail and damaging winds. Storms should end from west to east Thursday evening.
I hope everyone has enjoyed this Easter weekend and the cooler weather! This next week, we will climb back up into the 80s each day through Thursday, and also have some chances of rain in the forecast each day. Monday and Tuesday, we only have about a 20% chance of rain at the highest amounts. Of course, anything that may form could become strong to severe, small to large hail and damaging winds would be the main threats, however, we don't expect much to happen Monday or Tuesday. On Tuesday, if we see any storms, they will mainly be in Northwestern portions of the region where the atmosphere will be more favorable.
Wednesday and Thursday however, we expect a higher chance of storms for the region, these may be strong to severe. Wednesday, we will heat up into the low to mid 80s, we will be windy across much of the area, with about a 30% to 40% chance of storms to the West and Northwest of the DFW Metroplex, and a 20% to 30% isolated chance of storms including the Metroplex and an area roughly from Sherman to Paris and Southward to Brownwood. The main threats for Wednesday will be small to large hail and damaging winds.
On Thursday, we will see the greatest chance of storms for this week. Numerous storms will be expected across the region. This greatest threat WILL include the DFW Metroplex, with a 50% to 70% chance of storms. Any storms that develop in the orange shaded area of the map for Thursday will likely be severe. The main threats for Thursday will be small to large hail and damaging winds.
It's still a few days out for Wednesday and Thursday, so the forecasts and predictions may change. As I say that at this time, I wouldn't rule out the isolated possibility for a tornado or two Wednesday or Thursday (mainly for Thursday) in the areas with the greater storm chances, given the fact that severe thunderstorms sometimes may organize themselves into tornadic supercells...however, that may change over the coming days, and I am NOT saying this will be a severe weather or tornado outbreak AT THIS TIME. I also do not expect tornadoes to be a main threat AT THIS TIME, and again this COULD change.
We do encourage you again, to pay attention to the latest forecasts and latest information this week as forecasts could potentially change and risk levels and threats may change as we near the event and begin to analyze new information and data.
We will have more updates for the storm threats and forecasts tomorrow evening...please stay tuned!
Will you need an umbrella this week? Will you potentially need to cancel any outdoor plans this week? Find out in this blog post as we break down the timing!
Right now, former Hurricane Ingrid and Tropical Depression Manuel look like they may cause a dampening in North Texas by the end of this work week as we see them sending some topical moisture to North Texas.
By Thursday into Friday, we will begin to see Gulf moisture combine with a cold front as well as the remnants of Ingrid and Manuel and increase our chances of rain and thunderstorms to around 50%-60%.
Once the cold front moves through and we begin to clear out by Saturday morning, we will begin to see mild temperatures.
Below is your forecast for the next 7 days!
Photo Courtesy of C Jill Reed (Flickr)
The skies have once again opened up over North Texas for this weekend. A cold front moved in Friday afternoon and caused the skies to open up and give us some very nice and appreciated rains, as well as a nice cool down. Due to the cold front we will be seeing a very nice cool down this weekend with highs only in the mid 70's on Saturday and lower 80's on Sunday. as much as 1" to 3" of rain is expected to fall today. Remember to watch out in the low lying areas, as flooding could be likely today. The rain should move out of North Texas by Sunday morning. Be sure to keep with the latest from us on our Facebook Page, and our Twiter as well as on our Instagram!
Here is the Categorical Outlook for North Texas today. Click to enlarge.
Green = Slight Risk
Orange = General T-Storm Risk
Yellow = Moderate Risk
Inside the yellow lines and along the Red River, there is a MODERATE risk, with a 60% chance of seeing a tornado. Tornado threats may be maximized along the Red River throughout the day. In North Texas, inside the green lines, we are in a SLIGHT risk of severe weather zone. Our tornadoes risk is much smaller here in North Texas, but an ISOLATED tornado CANNOT be ruled out however. Please remain vigilant as conditions may rapidly change throughout the day. Inside of the brown lines, there is a risk of GENERAL thunderstorms.