• Large Hail
- Damaging Winds
- A Few Tornadoes
• Frequent Lightning
Good morning everyone, wanted to give a quick update on what to expect from today's storms. As of this morning, the "enhanced" risk region no longer covers most of North Texas, and instead just covers the Red River counties down in to Dallas and Tarrant, but only a small sliver in the extreme North of those cointies, leaving the rest of North Texas under a "Slight" risk. However, this does not mean we can let our guard down for counties outside of the "Enhanced" risk areas, folks inside of the "Slight" risk area need to pay close attention as well.
The brownish orange colored outline represents the "Enhanced" risk area, the yellow colored outline represents the "Slight" risk area.
Threats today may include:
• Large Hail
• Frequent Lightning
Forecast Timing for today's storms is between 4 PM and 12 AM.
As we approach the end of the work week, we may begin to see travel and road conditions begin to deteriorate as a winter storm moves into North Texas. This event is much different than the last winter precipitation event the saw just last week, and models are showing close to a 100% chance that we will see wintry precipitation in North Texas, as well as icy and slick roadways (this includes the DFW Metroplex) late this week. We will break down the timing and what to expect of this winter weather event in this blog post.
Below is an image from the NWS website showing the area where a winter storm watch has been issued (counties shaded in blue are under a winter storm watch):
Enjoy the beautiful, warm day while we have it. Tomorrow, on Wednesday, we will see mostly sunny skies across the region with highs in the upper 70's and a wind out of the Southwest at around 5 to 10 mph.
During the overnight hours Wednesday night, we begin to cool off and see lows around the upper 30's by midnight Thursday morning. A cold rain will begin to move into North Texas overnight, late, freezing rain is not expected.
During the day on Thursday, we could still be seeing some cold rain around the region during the morning hours, however Northern areas of North Texas could see some freezing rain, lasting until around noon. After noon, we may see a break in precipitation until the late afternoon hours roll around.
Thursday afternoon, the precipitation will return and we could begin to see freezing rain and ice around North Texas in the areas shaded in purple, THIS INCLUDES THE METROPLEX, however, areas Southeast of Dallas and Fort Worth will most likely see only a cold rain.
Overnight Thursday, we will see temperatures dipping down into the 30's & 20's in most areas and freezing rain turning to ice continuing overnight into Friday morning. Be sure to give yourself extra time during you morning commute as roadways, especially elevated roadways, could and most likely have ice on them. Also, be extra cautious of 'black ice' as well, black is ice that is not visible but does pose a risk to lose control of your vehicle.
There will also be a possibility to see some more wintry precipitation on Friday, and on into the weekend. I will have another blog post to break down the timing and chances later on.
What should we expect from this winter storm?
> Cold front arrives Wednesday.
> Freezing rain begins Thursday night, lasting into Friday.
> Poor road conditions, slow morning commute on Friday.
> More winter precip. possible over the weekend.
> Possible power outages, icy roads, and likelihood of having to remain at home for several days.
Stay with North Texas Storm Center for the latest on the winter storm as it closes in on North Texas!
Images from NWS Ft. Worth Website:
Will you need an umbrella this week? Will you potentially need to cancel any outdoor plans this week? Find out in this blog post as we break down the timing!
Right now, former Hurricane Ingrid and Tropical Depression Manuel look like they may cause a dampening in North Texas by the end of this work week as we see them sending some topical moisture to North Texas.
By Thursday into Friday, we will begin to see Gulf moisture combine with a cold front as well as the remnants of Ingrid and Manuel and increase our chances of rain and thunderstorms to around 50%-60%.
Once the cold front moves through and we begin to clear out by Saturday morning, we will begin to see mild temperatures.
Below is your forecast for the next 7 days!
A pleasant week is ahead for North Texas; for the first time this year, we expect to hit 90 degrees at DFW during this week, we expect to see some mild temperatures as we wake up this week, we could see some rain chances later this week and even during the beginning of next week. Below is your 7-Day Forecast:7-Day Forecast for 5-14-13 through 5-20-13
Monday Night - Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. South wind 10 to 15 mph.
Tuesday - Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. South southwest wind 10 to 15 mph, gusts as high as 20 mph.
Tuesday Night - A 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1 am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. South wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Wednesday - A 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy with a high near 80. South wind 15 to 20 mph, gusts as high as 25 mph. A FEW storms may be on the strong side, possibly even severe, however, widespread severe weather is not expected across North Texas on Wednesday as of now.
Wednesday Night - A 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. South southeast winds around 15 mph, gusts as high as 25 mph.
Thursday - Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Winds south southeast at 10 to 15 mph, gusts as high as 20 mph.
Thursday Night - Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. Winds south southeast at 10 to 15 mph, gusts as high as 20 mph.
Friday - Partly sunny, with a high near 86. South wind 10 to 15 mph, gusts as high as 20 mph.
Friday Night - Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. South wind around 15 mph, gusts as high as 20 mph.
Saturday - Partly sunny, with a high near 88.
Saturday Night - Partly cloudy with a high around 68.
Sunday - A 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny with a high near 87.
Sunday Night - A 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69.
Monday - Mostly sunny, with a high near 87.
A radar frame indicating large hail over Salesville, TX near Mineral Wells
The skies opened up over many of us here in North Texas yesterday after midday dropping some very much needed rain for us. Thankfully, the storms stayed out of severe limits as they reached the Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex, but for others we can't say the same. The storms dropped some large hail over portions of North Texas. Some of the reported hail as large as egg sized. Wise county had numerous reports of hail between 0.88" to 1.75" in diameter. Dallas county had a few reports of hail between 0.75" and 1.75" in diameter. Jack county had some reports of hail 0.75" to 1.75" as well as Montague county.
A regional view of the rainfall totals over North Texas.
As well as the hail North Texas saw yesterday, we saw some pretty nice rainfall totals. The image to the left shows rainfall totals across North Texas. In far North-Western portions of North Texas, we saw rainfall totals ranging between .5" to 1". In South-Western portions of North Texas, we saw rainfall totals ranging between .5" to 2.5". In the Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex, we saw rainfall totals ranging between .5" to 4". Along the Red River, in a line from Muenster to Bonham, we saw anywhere from 2" to 5", however the 5" was mostly around Van Alstyne. In South-Western portions of North Texas, we totals around 1" of rainfall. Notice the blue area though between DeSoto to Meridian, no that's not a gap in our data, they really did only see between a trace to .5" of rainfall from these storms yesterday. Below I have posted a gallery of a few of the radar images from yesterday as well as rainfall totals as of this morning.
A few of the radar images & rainfall totals from yesterday's storms.
Photo Courtesy of C Jill Reed (Flickr)
The skies have once again opened up over North Texas for this weekend. A cold front moved in Friday afternoon and caused the skies to open up and give us some very nice and appreciated rains, as well as a nice cool down. Due to the cold front we will be seeing a very nice cool down this weekend with highs only in the mid 70's on Saturday and lower 80's on Sunday. as much as 1" to 3" of rain is expected to fall today. Remember to watch out in the low lying areas, as flooding could be likely today. The rain should move out of North Texas by Sunday morning. Be sure to keep with the latest from us on our Facebook Page, and our Twiter as well as on our Instagram!