The SPC has issued a new mesoscale discussion, this includes portions of North Texas and DFW. Looks to be a a Severe Thunderstorm Watch with an issuance likely hood of 80%.
Mesoscale Discussion
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0286 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0157 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016 AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF WRN N TX CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH LIKELY VALID 301857Z - 302000Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT SUMMARY...THE SEVERE THREAT ACROSS THIS REGION IS INCREASING...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREATS. WW ISSUANCE LIKELY. DISCUSSION...CONVECTION HAS RECENTLY INITIATED ACROSS PORTIONS OF WRN N TX AHEAD OF A SFC DRYLINE. TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S ACROSS THIS REGION...WITH DEWPOINTS IN GENERALLY IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES COMBINED WITH THIS MOIST LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS ARE CONTRIBUTING TO STRONG MLCAPE OF 2000-3000 J/KG MLCAPE ACROSS THE MCD AREA. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE EWD TOWARDS THE METROPLEX THIS EVENING...POSING MAINLY A LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WIND RISK GIVEN SUPERCELL STRUCTURES ARE LIKELY. THE TORNADO RISK SHOULD BE RELATIVELY LIMITED WITH MODEST LOW-LEVEL FLOW PER KDYX VWP AND 18Z KFWD SOUNDING. ..GLEASON/THOMPSON.. 03/30/2016 ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT... LAT...LON 31920071 33269967 33409789 33809784 33689716 33739669 33659654 33119643 32329670 31569724 31319884 31440036 31920071